← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.01 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 71' | ⚽ | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
| 73' | 🟨 | Franck Evina · Holstein Kiel |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jonathan Clauss · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| coach days | 169.00 | 322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1513.11 | 1527.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.23 | -59.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 47.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.93 | 25.74 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |