← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 64% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.31 |
| Dresden win | 18% | 5.46 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Philipp Klement · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 18' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Dresden |
| 37' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Dresden |
| 63' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 107.00 | 778.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1456.91 | 1561.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.44 | 32.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | 1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| league points | 45.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.23 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |