← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 23% | 4.15 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.35 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 28' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 43' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 107.00 | 717.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1485.78 | 1445.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.43 | 24.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |