← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Waschitzki, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Magdeburg win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 28' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · 1. FC Köln |
| 33' | 🟨 | Louis Schaub · 1. FC Köln |
| 34' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · Magdeburg |
| 52' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 53' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1783.00 | 20.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 4.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1418.15 | 1592.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.74 | -52.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| league points | 31.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.80 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 9.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 27.39 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.85 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |