← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 42% | 2.33 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 32% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 107.00 | 48.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.58 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1433.99 | 1463.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.07 | -14.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.81 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| league points | 45.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.49 | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.84 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |