← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 38% | 2.58 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 13' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · Regensburg |
| 52' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 60' | ⚽ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui · Regensburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 86' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| coach days | 687.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -6.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 10.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1483.68 | 1460.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.81 | 4.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.10 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 52.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 27.53 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.78 | -1.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |