← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Harm Osmers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Bochum win | 21% | 4.54 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 34' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 35' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
| 41' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 48' | 🟨 | Grischa Prömel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 49' | ⚽ (pen) | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 71' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 71' | 🟥 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 77' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 83' | ⚽ | Grischa Prömel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 86' | ⚽ | Joshua Mees · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ken Reichel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 26 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 472.00 | 322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1479.50 | 1577.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.46 | 4.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| league points | 49.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 28.07 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |