← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 65% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.40 |
| Darmstadt win | 13% | 7.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Patrick Herrmann · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ | Darío Lezcano · Ingolstadt |
| 53' | 🟨 | Konstantin Kerschbaumer · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Ingolstadt |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mërgim Mavraj · Ingolstadt |
| 77' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 81' | 🟨 | Marcel Heller · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| coach days | 41.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1488.51 | 1500.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 74.18 | 26.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| league points | 36.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.60 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.38 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.31 | 28.38 |
| state index | 0.67 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.49 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |