← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Guido Winkmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| Greuther Furth win | 16% | 6.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 20' | ⚽ (og) | Daniel Steininger · 1. FC Köln |
| 32' | 🟨 | Daniel Steininger · Greuther Furth |
| 41' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 65' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 3 | Shots | 20 |
| 0 | On target | 9 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 5 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | 1. FC Köln |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 94.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 3.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1445.50 | 1602.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.32 | -52.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.73 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
| league points | 44.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 26.89 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |