← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
| Darmstadt win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | ⚽ | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 69' | 🟨 | Robert Žulj · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 77' | ⚽ | Mathias Wittek · Darmstadt |
| 87' | ⚽ | Sebastian Andersson · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 21 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 93.00 | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1490.04 | 1579.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.82 | -15.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| league points | 43.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.65 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.39 | 27.96 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |