← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 40% | 2.41 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Denis Thomalla · Heidenheim |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 64' | 🟨 | Nejmeddin Daghfous · SV Sandhausen |
| 67' | ⚽ | Leart Paqarada · SV Sandhausen |
| 69' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 4263.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1527.82 | 1467.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.01 | 24.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| league points | 52.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -1.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 27.81 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | -1.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |