← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Bochum win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 42' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 50' | ⚽ | Dominik Baumgartner · Bochum |
| 52' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Ignjovski · Magdeburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Charles Elie Laprevotte · Magdeburg |
| 61' | ⚽ | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 64' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
| 84' | ⚽ | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 87' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 457.00 | 1768.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1466.95 | 1437.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.61 | 7.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 45.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.20 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |