← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Brych, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Bielefeld win | 27% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Patrick Weihrauch · Bielefeld |
| 42' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 48' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 56' | 🟨 | Mohamed Dräger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sebastian Vasiliadis · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 70' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 87' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anderson-Lenda Lucoqui · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Prietl · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 153.00 | 762.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1477.08 | 1563.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.07 | 43.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 1.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| league points | 41.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.81 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.82 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 25.87 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |