← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Bochum win | 29% | 3.33 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Philipp Zulechner · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 38' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 44' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 60' | 🟨 | Dominik Baumgartner · Bochum |
| 64' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 76' | ⚽ | Silvère Ganvoula · Bochum |
| 82' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| coach days | 696.00 | 451.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1418.24 | 1476.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.83 | -9.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.50 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 26.72 |
| state index | -1.10 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |