← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Heidenheim win | 24% | 4.04 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Leopold Zingerle · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 59' | ⚽ | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Robert Andrich · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 757.00 | 4257.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.59 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1551.70 | 1539.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.07 | 17.62 |
| eye test v1 | 1.62 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.77 |
| league points | 54.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.82 | 26.69 |
| state index | 1.05 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |