← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 10 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 208.00 | 300.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1455.86 | 1573.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.20 | -14.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 33.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 25.31 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.19 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |