← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Greuther Furth win | 19% | 4.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Magdeburg |
| 11' | ⚽ | Daniel Steininger · Greuther Furth |
| 16' | ⚽ | Christian Beck · Magdeburg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Mario Maloča · Greuther Furth |
| 39' | 🟨 | Daniel Steininger · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
| 51' | 🟨 | Timo Perthel · Magdeburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Fabian Reese · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1761.00 | 85.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1428.67 | 1454.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.58 | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |