← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 70% | 1.38 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.11 |
| Darmstadt win | 12% | 8.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 76' | ⚽ | Felix Platte · Darmstadt |
| 79' | 🟨 | Dominick Drexler · 1. FC Köln |
| 90' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Felix Platte · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 27 | Shots | 9 |
| 12 | On target | 4 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| coach days | 299.00 | 84.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1617.34 | 1474.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.86 | 14.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.70 |
| league points | 60.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |