← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Magdeburg win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.69 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Marco Grüttner · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sargis Adamyan · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Nachreiner · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 659.00 | 1755.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| venue | Continental Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1482.05 | 1435.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.17 | -5.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.80 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.57 |
| league points | 46.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.90 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.15 | 26.16 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.15 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |