← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 56% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.82 |
| Greuther Furth win | 19% | 5.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 78.00 | 293.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1452.94 | 1568.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.11 | -31.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 43.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 25.37 | 27.47 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |