← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Bielefeld win | 32% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Yi-Young Park · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 48' | ⚽ | Ryo Miyaichi · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Christopher Buchtmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 60' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Patrick Weihrauch · Bielefeld |
| 75' | 🟨 | Florian-Horst Carstens · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 0.60 |
| coach days | 13.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1477.22 | 1497.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.55 | 18.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| league points | 48.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.98 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |