← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Johann Pfeifer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
| Greuther Furth win | 23% | 4.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Sebastian Ernst · Greuther Furth |
| 13' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 36' | ⚽ | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 37' | 🟨 | Manuel Riemann · Bochum |
| 53' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 67' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 87' | 🟨 | Patrick Fabian · Bochum |
| 90' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 20 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 437.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1467.04 | 1461.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.76 | 21.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 41.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.63 | 25.81 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |