← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Dresden win | 29% | 3.39 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 60' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Markus Schubert · Dresden |
| 69' | ⚽ | Aleksandr Zhirov · SV Sandhausen |
| 71' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Dresden |
| 72' | ⚽ | Nejmeddin Daghfous · SV Sandhausen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nejmeddin Daghfous · SV Sandhausen |
| 79' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| coach days | 194.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1443.17 | 1458.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.19 | 18.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 28.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.63 | 24.69 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.04 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |