← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Darmstadt win | 24% | 4.04 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Joevin Jones · Darmstadt |
| 40' | 🟨 | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Magdeburg |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 70' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Darmstadt |
| 87' | ⚽ | Marcel Heller · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1747.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1446.89 | 1465.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.66 | 9.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| league points | 28.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.05 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 28.50 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |