← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Apr 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Magdeburg win | 14% | 6.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
| 31' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lewis Holtby · Hamburger SV |
| 48' | 🟨 | Kyriakos Papadopoulos · Hamburger SV |
| 50' | 🟨 | Rico Preißinger · Magdeburg |
| 60' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · Magdeburg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jan Kirchhoff · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 403.00 | 1742.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1599.77 | 1431.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.91 | -29.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 54.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 67.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 9.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 23.62 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.07 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |