← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Darmstadt win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 9' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Darmstadt |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Paul Seguin · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Darmstadt |
| 74' | 🟨 | David Raum · Greuther Furth |
| 82' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mathias Wittek · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 65.00 | 65.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 3.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1452.15 | 1474.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.22 | 31.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| league points | 40.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 28.09 |
| state index | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |