← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.65 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 19' | 🟨 | Christopher Antwi-Adjei · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 49' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jamilu Collins · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 80' | 🟨 | Karim Guédé · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Schuhen · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Karim Guédé · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Karim Guédé · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bernard Tekpetey · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Philipp Klement · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 26 |
| 4 | On target | 10 |
| 7 | Corners | 15 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 187.00 | 735.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1442.67 | 1519.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.53 | 9.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.55 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 27.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 25.88 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |