← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 23% | 4.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 17' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 77' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 89' | ⚽ | Florian Krüger · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| coach days | 125.00 | 673.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1491.15 | 1427.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.35 | -4.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 35.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 27.17 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |