← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 50% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 21% | 4.58 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Bjørn Paulsen · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | ⚽ | Kevin Behrens · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| coach days | 120.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| venue | Audi Sportpark |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1407.00 | 1431.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.10 | 6.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.93 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.73 |
| league points | 20.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 27.58 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |