← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Greuther Furth win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 23' | ⚽ | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 47' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 53' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Maximilian Sauer · Greuther Furth |
| 65' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 58.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1454.51 | 1490.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.28 | -4.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| league points | 38.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.18 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 26.87 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |