← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Mar 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Darmstadt win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Jonas Föhrenbach · Regensburg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
| 69' | ⚽ | Andreas Geipl · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 57.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -3.20 |
| 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1476.22 | 1467.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.61 | -2.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.44 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| league points | 35.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | -1.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.03 | 28.14 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -1.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |