← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Badstubner, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Darmstadt win | 14% | 7.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 5' | ⚽ | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 16' | ⚽ (pen) | Pierre-Michel Lasogga · Hamburger SV |
| 52' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 82' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 380.00 | 43.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1617.24 | 1460.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.31 | 9.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 54.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 53.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 23.80 | 28.09 |
| state index | 0.68 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |