← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Marco Fritz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 68% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.89 |
| Bielefeld win | 12% | 7.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · 1. FC Köln |
| 21' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 69' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
| 71' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| coach days | 251.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1618.89 | 1486.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.75 | 33.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.89 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.70 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.81 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |