← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Mar 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Heidenheim win | 28% | 3.48 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Robert Andrich · Heidenheim |
| 63' | 🟨 | Robert Andrich · Heidenheim |
| 63' | 🟥 | Robert Andrich · Heidenheim |
| 78' | ⚽ | Chung-yong Lee · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 400.00 | 4206.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| 0.40 |
| 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1476.49 | 1532.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.00 | 0.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 37.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 26.59 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |