← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Mon, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dingert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.57 |
| Greuther Furth win | 11% | 8.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 58' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Hamburger SV |
| 67' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | 🟥 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 73' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 85' | ⚽ | Aaron Hunt · Hamburger SV |
| 88' | 🟨 | Daniel Keita-Ruel · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 368.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1594.49 | 1439.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.32 | 7.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| league points | 47.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.83 | 25.88 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.10 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |