← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Michael Bacher, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Dresden win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 14' | ⚽ | Miloš Pantović · Bochum |
| 33' | ⚽ | Barış Atik · Dresden |
| 44' | 🟨 | Patrick Fabian · Bochum |
| 55' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jannis Nikolaou · Dresden |
| 62' | 🟨 | Patrick Ebert · Dresden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| coach days | 30.00 | 395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.76 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1439.82 | 1475.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.14 | -50.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.41 | 27.18 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |