← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Johann Pfeifer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 22 |
| 1 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Hardtwaldstadion |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 152.00 | 639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1417.98 | 1425.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.94 | -20.93 |
| eye test v1 | -1.37 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.08 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 25.99 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |