← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Mar 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.94 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 23% | 4.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 700.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1510.40 | 1518.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.20 | -20.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 2.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 38.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | -1.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 27.07 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |