← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Magdeburg win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Rico Preißinger · Magdeburg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Timo Perthel · Magdeburg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 70' | ⚽ | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Kirchhoff · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| coach days | 1699.00 | 694.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1461.17 | 1510.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.83 | 42.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 2.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 25.29 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |