← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Gräfe, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 68% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.54 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 11% | 8.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Andrew Wooten · SV Sandhausen |
| 8' | 🟨 | Tim Kister · SV Sandhausen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dennis Diekmeier · SV Sandhausen |
| 50' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · 1. FC Köln |
| 52' | 🟨 | Vincent Koziello · 1. FC Köln |
| 83' | ⚽ | Anthony Modeste · 1. FC Köln |
| 88' | 🟨 | Emanuel Taffertshofer · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philipp Förster · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anthony Modeste · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| coach days | 237.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1599.29 | 1424.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.65 | 7.13 |
| eye test v1 | 1.31 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | -0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| league points | 39.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 62.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | -1.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 7.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.89 | 27.09 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |