← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 44% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
| Dresden win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Darmstadt |
| 30' | 🟨 | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 41' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Dresden |
| 42' | 🟨 | Rico Benatelli · Dresden |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 51' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Dresden |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 58' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 62' | 🟨 | Immanuel Höhn · Darmstadt |
| 85' | ⚽ | Serdar Dursun · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1442.86 | 1452.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.09 | -9.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| league points | 26.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 24.93 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |