← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christof Gunsch, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Holstein Kiel |
| 30' | ⚽ | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 37' | 🟨 | Masaya Okugawa · Holstein Kiel |
| 41' | ⚽ | Masaya Okugawa · Holstein Kiel |
| 76' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · Holstein Kiel |
| 77' | ⚽ | Simon Zoller · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 387.00 | 237.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 4.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1488.26 | 1607.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.91 | 12.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 36.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.91 | 25.32 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |