← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Bielefeld win | 17% | 5.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 236.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1585.61 | 1474.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.09 | 24.09 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 44.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 27.43 |
| state index | 0.72 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |