← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Schroder, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Greuther Furth win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Richard Magyar · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Robert Andrich · Heidenheim |
| 87' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 21.00 | 4192.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1437.92 | 1546.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.43 | 26.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 34.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.61 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.76 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |