← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.12 |
| Greuther Furth win | 17% | 5.53 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 62' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Greuther Furth |
| 76' | ⚽ | Atakan Karazor · Holstein Kiel |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marco Caligiuri · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maximilian Wittek · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 14 | Corners | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 231.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1613.69 | 1431.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.39 | -11.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 45.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| league points | 38.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.10 | 25.67 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.00 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |