← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Feb 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Magdeburg win | 30% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 31' | 🟥 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 33' | ⚽ | Timo Perthel · Magdeburg |
| 45' | ⚽ | Felix Lohkemper · Magdeburg |
| 64' | 🟨 | Marcel Costly · Magdeburg |
| 69' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| coach days | 78.00 | 1692.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1494.52 | 1441.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.73 | 7.33 |
| eye test v1 | 1.30 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 27.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.56 | 27.00 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |