← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 30% | 3.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Sonny Kittel · Ingolstadt |
| 17' | 🟨 | Fabian Kalig · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 35' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 40' | 🟨 | Filip Kusić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 50' | ⚽ | Jonatan Kotzke · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 70' | 🟨 | Jan Hochscheidt · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 74' | 🟨 | Pascal Testroet · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 77' | ⚽ (og) | Malcolm Cacutalua · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| coach days | 619.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1446.05 | 1402.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.94 | -3.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 25.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |