← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Magdeburg win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Janni Serra · Holstein Kiel |
| 39' | 🟨 | László Bénes · Holstein Kiel |
| 42' | ⚽ | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dennis Erdmann · Magdeburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 63' | 🟨 | Atakan Karazor · Holstein Kiel |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nico Hammann · Magdeburg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Philip Türpitz · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1685.00 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 224.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.69 |
| elo | 1423.23 | 1566.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.57 | 20.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 68.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 17.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.70 |
| skill v1 | -1.19 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |