← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sat, Feb 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kempter, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 39% | 2.51 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Ben Zolinski · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mohamed Dräger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 45' | ⚽ | Sven Michel · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 79' | ⚽ | Lukas Hinterseer · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Leopold Zingerle · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Bernard Tekpetey · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robbie Kruse · Bochum |
| 90' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| coach days | 373.00 | 679.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1511.05 | 1486.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.53 | 29.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 2.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.36 | 25.47 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |