← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Fri, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 62% | 1.55 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.33 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 15% | 6.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 38' | ⚽ | Alexander Meier · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 47' | 🟨 | Florian-Horst Carstens · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jhon Córdoba · 1. FC Köln |
| 85' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 12 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | RheinEnergieStadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 222.00 | 434.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.81 | 3.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1599.14 | 1538.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.12 | 37.77 |
| eye test v1 | 1.39 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 36.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -1.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 29.19 |
| state index | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | -1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |